The controversial indictment recommendation bill, the investigation of Israeli coalition leader David Bitan and the massive protests in Tel Aviv are all affecting the country’s political structure. A new poll examines how these recent events could change the distribution of Knesset seats and the public’s support for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.
Who is most suitable to become prime minister? Photo Credit: Yonatan Sindel/Flash90, Reuters
Over the past few weeks, the Israeli coalition has undergone much turmoil, between the controversial indictment recommendation bill, the investigation of Israeli coalition leader David Bitan and the massive anti-corruption protests in Tel Aviv. But do all of the recent crises affect Israeli public opinion? A new poll conducted by Mano Geva and Mina Tzemach of Midgam Consulting and Research Navigation in cooperation with iPanel indicates that the Knesset seating map did not dramatically change, as well as public support for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s performance in office.
The survey was conducted among 525 respondents, all of whom constitute a representative national sample of Israel’s total population aged 18 and over, and had a maximum sampling error of ± 4.4%. According to the poll, if elections were held today, Netanyahu’s Likud party would win with 24 mandates, versus 22 for the Yesh Atid party led by Yair Lapid. The Zionist Union would come in third place with 18 mandates and tied for fourth place would be HaBayit HaYehudi and the Joint Arab List with 12.
Meretz, United Torah Judaism, and Yisrael Beiteinu would all receive 7 mandates, Kulanu would be awarded 6 and Shas would only receive 5 mandates. When divided into sides of the political spectrum, the right-wing would be allotted 29 mandates and the center-left-wing would win a whopping 47.
The respondents were also asked if they believe that Netanyahu or Lapid is a better candidate for prime minister. 35% supported Netanyahu compared to 20% who supported Lapid. 14% responded that they did not know who the politicians were. When asked if Labor Party leader Avi Gabbay or Netanyahu is the best fit for prime minister, 30% supported Netanyahu, whereas 19% supported Gabbay, 17% answered that they did not know who the politicians were and 25% believed that neither fits.