A special forecast conducted by Israel’s Central Bureau of Statistics predicts that while the Jewish versus Arab proportions will remain close to the same as today, Israel’s Haredi population will account for 32% by 2065.
Illustration (Archives) Photo Credit: Flash 90/Channel 2 News
What will Israel look like in 2065? The Israeli Central Bureau of Statistics has released a special forecast related to Israel’s demographic composition over the next 48 years. According to their predictions, Israel’s population will reach: 10 million as early as 2024, and 15 million by 2048, the year of Israel’s centennial. At the end of their forecast period, in 2065, the population is expected to reach 20 million.
Israel’s Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS) used 2015, when Israel’s population was about 8.5 million, as their starting point. The bureau’s experts conducted an analysis of the data and carried out evaluations according to various trends in the world and cultural developments.
One of their most significant findings relates to the general population’s composition, specifically between ‘Jewish and other’, and Arabs in Israel. In 25 years, the percentage of the ‘Jewish and other’ population will remain similar to that of 2015 (79%), along with that of the Arab population (21%). By 2065 the proportion of the ‘Jewish and other’ population is expected to rise to 81%, while the proportion of the Arab population is expected to fall to 19%.
Haredi population expected to rise to 32% Photo Credit: Reuters/Channel 2 News
However, the CBS expects that the share of Israel’s Haredi population within the total population of Israel will rise from 11% to 20% by 2040, and to 32% in 2065. In relation to the whole Jewish population, the Haredi population will reach 40% by 2065.
Furthermore, a significant change related to Israel’s elderly population is expected. If in 2015, 11.1% of the Israeli population were aged 65 and over, then in 2040, that population is expected to rise to 1.9 million people (14.3%). By 2065, their share will reach 15.3% or 3 million people.
The bureau noted that this new forecast does not attempt to predict the future, rather that its goal is to provide a general framework for decision-makers’ planning. “These scenarios were built based on past trends by using statistical models, consultations with experts on the subject, and accompanying an advisory committee set up specifically for this purpose by the Public Council for Statistics,” the bureau stated.