Only 9 days before the election on April 9th, and despite the fact that Netanyahu’s rival Gantz would win in the number of seats, the right-wing parties as a whole continue to dominate the math needed to form the next Government.
According to the results of a poll published by Channel 12 news , if elections take place today, the Kachol Lavan party of Benny Gantz and Yair Lapid would get 32 seats, while the Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud would get 28 seats.
Without individually being able to hold the majority in the Knesset by themselves, both parties will have to form a coalition with the smaller parties.
The aligned left party of HaAvoda would get 8 seats; the Arab Hadash-Ta’al party would get 7 seats; the Shas and Yahadut Hatorah religious parties would get 6 seats; The aligned right parties of Hayemin Hehadash and Zehut, the Union of Right Parties, the leftist Meretz party, and the centrist Kulanu, would get 5 seats each; and finally, the Arab party Ra’am-Balad and the right-wing party Yisrael Beitenu would get 4 seats each.
Therefore the bloc of right-wing parties reaches 52 seats, the left-center bloc has 45 seats, the religious bloc has 12 seats, and the Arab bloc has 11 seats.
Assuming that the religious bloc will go right as they usually do, then that would give Netanyahu a majority of 64 seats
A center-left bloc allied with the Arab parties with Gantz and Lapid at the head would get a total of 61 seats only if they can convince the religious bloc of Zehut to join them. Other than Zehut they don’t stand a chance to attract anyone else from the religious right. In such an unlikely scenario Gantz would have the majority to form a government.
When asked “Who do you prefer as the Prime Minister of Israel,” 38 percent of those asked opted for Netanyahu, while 36 percent did so for Gantz.
When asked the question “According to your opinion, who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel?”, 56 percent opted for Netanyahu, while 22 percent for Gantz.