The election of Joe Biden as US President is set to bring about a series of policy changes, both in Israel and across the Muslim world.  In his first year in office, US President-Elect Joe Biden plans to hold a global summit of democracies that will include all the nations in the free world.  According to the Times of India, “The Summit will prioritize results by galvanizing significant new country commitments in three areas: (1) fighting corruption; (2) defending against authoritarianism, including election security; (3) advancing human rights in their own nations and abroad.”

Jake Sullivan, a senior policy advisor to the Biden campaign, proclaimed that Biden will “put values and democracies back at the center of US foreign policy,” rallying “like-minded democratic nations in common purpose to push back against authoritarian competitors and also to construct and build the kind of long-term durable solutions for the challenges that afflict us all.”

In the Middle East, this means that a Biden presidency will move away from Saudi Arabia and the Persian Gulf monarchies.  According to Al Jazeera, over the past two years, Biden has said Saudi Arabia’s government has “very little social redeeming value”, that Riyadh had murdered “children … and innocent people” in Yemen, and it was a “pariah” state.  Under his administration, it is expected that the US will re-examine its relationship with the Saudi kingdom, end US support for Saudi Arabia’s war in Yemen and “make sure America does not check its values at the door to sell arms or buy oil,” as Biden put it.   This will weaken the Saudi coalition against the Islamic Republic of Iran.  In Yemen, Saudi Arabia is fighting against the Houthis, an Iranian proxy.

At the same time, Biden is expected to return to the nefarious Iranian nuclear deal within months of taking office.   This action will provide critical life support to a region that is on the verge of collapsing.  According to Iran News Wire, “Despite the spread of the coronavirus throughout Iran, various sectors of society still staged protests over the dire economic situation. According to statistics that have been collected and recorded, during October 2020, some 341 protests took place in 83 cities in Iran. The number of protests in October 2020 is roughly the same as those in September 2020.”

“The factors that led to Iran’s November 2019 protests have not faded and have actually increased and become more widespread,” they added.  “If the sudden rise in the price of gasoline could lead to huge angry protests across Iran, the current plight of Iranians, including the shortage of bread and water and severe price fluctuations have the potential to spark huge protests.”

“One should not assume that the Iranian regime is in the same position it was in November 2019, when it brutally killed 1,500 protestors,” they stressed. “On the contrary. The Iranian regime is currently swamped in a plethora of economic, social, and political challenges and crises. International sanctions have weakened the regime’s support for its proxy forces, diminishing its regional power. The people of Iran believe that Iran’s November 2019 protests have not ended and that a tiny spark may once again ignite protests across the county.”

Thus, making an Iranian nuclear deal at this time will be very costly to the State of Israel and the free world at large.  Mendi Safadi, who heads the Safadi Center for International Diplomacy, Research, Public Relations and Human Rights, proclaimed: “Israel has been openly and secretly working in recent years against Iran’s entrenchment in the region, preventing the intensification of Iran’s nuclear program and many sources claim Israel has been successful due to the support it received from the Trump administration.”

“But now, with a Biden victory, there is a great concern not only in Israel but also the Persian Gulf countries that his policies will undermine the achievements obtained so far in the struggle against Iran, especially due to rumors that Hillary Clinton will serve as US Ambassador to the UN and Barack Obama may be the Envoy to the Middle East,” he added.  “These two were hostile towards Egypt and the Persian Gulf states while they were lenient towards Iran and Turkey, while contributing towards their strengthening.  They may re-implement their policies that were cut short four years ago.”   Although Biden has expressed his hostility towards Erdogan and is unlikely to be close to his government, the fact that he will move away from the Saudi coalition in the name of supporting democracy yet at the same time will provide critical life support to the Islamic Republic of Iran should be a major concern for everyone who cares about world peace and regional stability.

Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in this Op-Ed are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of JerusalemOnline.

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Rachel Avraham is a senior political analyst at the Safadi Center for International Diplomacy, Research, Public Relations and Human Rights, which is run by Mendi Safadi, Israeli Communication Minister Ayoob Kara's former chief of staff. For almost a decade, she is a Middle East based journalist, covering radical Islam, terrorism, human rights abuses in the Muslim world, minority rights abuses in the Muslim world, women's rights issues in the Muslim world, Iran, Iraq, Turkey, Syria, Azerbaijan, the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, the Jewish Diaspora, anti-Semitism, international affairs and other issues of importance. Avraham is the author of “Women and Jihad: Debating Palestinian Female Suicide Bombings in the American, Israeli and Arab Media," a ground breaking book that was endorsed by former Israel Consul General Dr. Yitzchak Ben Gad and Israeli Communications Minister Ayoob Kara.